Thinking I should trust my gut more

June 27th, 2009

I just noticed that I added this little box to the sidebar of the blog in early 2008:

HOT, CURRENTLY.

Trellises. Trading dollars for risky mortgages, so long as I’m not doing it. The rapidly approaching annual lapse in winter vegetables’ exclusive appeal.

Seems like it would’ve been smart to act on that hunch.  I also wanted to buy NVIDIA stock in early 2000 and I think it posted one of the biggest gains in the market over the next two years in the middle of the tech crash.  I think this goes to show, more than anything else, that it’s easy to see what will likely happen in the economy but impossible to predict when it will happen.

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